A wave of cautious optimism is washing over Cardano. ADA price has climbed 3% in 24 hours, riding a broader market rebound led by Bitcoin. This move above short-term support signals a potential sentiment shift, but the real catalyst comes from a major institutional player. Grayscale just increased its ADA allocation, demonstrating growing confidence in Cardano’s smart contract future as buyers return to the market.
Institutional Validation: Grayscale’s Vote of Confidence
Grayscale’s latest portfolio rebalance delivered a clear message. The firm increased Cardano’s weight in its Smart Contract Fund from 18.55% to 19.50%, solidifying ADA as its third-largest holding behind only Solana and Ethereum. This isn’t mere speculation; it’s a calculated move by a leading digital asset manager, reflecting a long-term belief in Cardano’s ecosystem potential. This institutional endorsement provides a fundamental pillar for the current recovery.
Making a Cardano Price Prediction: The Path to $0.30
Technically, the setup is improving. ADA is holding above crucial support, with its RSI neutral at 44 and the MACD showing a bullish divergence with a rising green histogram. This suggests building upward momentum in the short term. The immediate target is a clear retest of the $0.30 resistance level.

Our Cardano price prediction hinges on this battle. A decisive breakout above $0.30 could open the path toward $0.35. However, failure at this resistance could see ADA retreat to retest support near $0.25. The broader market’s strength, exemplified by the 15% surge in Cardano’s Midnight (NIGHT) sidechain token, adds to the positive backdrop.

My Thoughts
This is a classic “show me” moment for ADA. The Grayscale news is a solid fundamental building block, but price needs to confirm. The move toward $0.30 is the litmus test. If ADA can reclaim and hold this level, it would signal a stronger trend reversal and likely attract more momentum capital. My prediction is cautious optimism: ADA tests $0.30 this week, but may need a few attempts to break through decisively. Accumulation on dips toward support remains the smart strategy.
