Veteran trader Peter Brandt has issued a sobering warning – Bitcoin’s current price action eerily resembles the 2021 market top. With BTC struggling below $105K, could we see a repeat of the 77% crash from 2021-2022?
Troubling Parallels to 2021 Top
Bitcoin’s 7-month consolidation between $60K-$105K mirrors the:
- 2020-2021 distribution phase ($30K-$65K range)
- Subsequent 77.5% crash to $15.5K
Brandt notes: “Fundamentals are always brightest at tops” – suggesting strong institutional interest might actually signal danger. A similar drop from current levels could send BTC to $23,600.
Key Levels to Watch
The $105K-$106K zone has become Bitcoin’s make-or-break level:
✅ Resistance: Repeated rejections at $106K (van de Poppe)
✅ Support: $104,124 (Ali Martinez) → Break could trigger drop to $97,405
✅ Critical: Golden Cross formation (50D/200D MA) suggests long-term bullish potential
Bullish vs Bearish Arguments
Bear Case (Brandt):
- Failed breakouts mirror 2021 distribution
- Strong fundamentals often precede corrections
- Breakdown could test $97K then lower
Bull Case:
- Golden Cross historically brought 49-125% gains
- 60+ companies recently added BTC treasuries
- Trump-led institutional hype continues
