Ethereum Rebound Toward $1800 After Iran Peace Deal

Geopolitical relief rally: De-escalation in energy corridors cools macro volatility, clearing a technical path for Ethereum to mount an aggressive rebound toward the $1,800 psychological threshold.

Ethereum rebound toward $1800 materialized on June 15. Buyers stepped in near a multi‑year support trendline while easing geopolitical tensions triggered a sharp recovery across risk assets.

According to CoinmarketCap market data, Ethereum surged more than 10% on June 15, reaching an intraday high above $1,800 before settling near $1,780 at Tuesday’s press time.

Why an Ethereum rebound toward $1800 matters

Before this recovery, Ethereum had dropped roughly 26% from early June levels near $2,050 to a local low around $1,507. Escalating tensions between the United States and Iran fueled inflation fears. Consequently, investors reduced exposure to risk assets.

However, the sharp rebound on Monday followed reports that the US and Iran had reached a framework peace agreement. This could lead to the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Therefore, the development eased concerns over energy supply disruptions and inflation that had weighed on risk assets for weeks.

OIL Prices Source : OilPrice.com

For example, Brent crude fell 2.2% below $ 82 per barrel on Tuesday. Similarly, WTI dropped 2.57% as traders priced in the possibility of uninterrupted oil flows from the Persian Gulf.

Market sentiment improves across asset classes

The improvement in market sentiment extended beyond oil markets. For instance, Bitcoin recovered above $66,000. Meanwhile, Ethereum attracted renewed buying interest after weeks of pressure from geopolitical tensions, inflation concerns, and capital flows shifting toward AI investments and major technology listings.

Additional support came from whale activity. According to Lookonchain, a large OTC investor sold 29,000 staked ETH worth roughly $53.1 million on June 16. Notably, the investor locked in a $6.4 million profit after purchasing the tokens during last week’s market dip. While the transaction represented profit‑taking, it also highlighted the scale of accumulation that occurred near recent lows.

Ethereum finds support where past bull runs began

The weekly chart shows Ethereum once again testing an ascending support trendline. This trendline has connected major lows since 2022. Previous touches preceded rallies toward $4,000 and above. Therefore, the current area is one of the most important long‑term technical zones on the chart.

ETH Weekly chart Source : TradingView

On the daily timeframe, ETH has bounced from the June low near $1,507. It has also reclaimed the 78.61,712. The next resistance sits near the 61.8% level at $1,873. After that, the psychological $2,000 barrier and the 50% retracement zone around $1,986 follow.

Momentum indicators improve

The daily MACD has completed a bullish crossover and moved higher from deeply negative territory. Additionally, the Chaikin Money Flow has recovered toward the neutral line after spending most of June below zero. Together, these indicators suggest that selling pressure has eased compared with the first half of the month.

ETH Daily chart Source : TradingView

Market participants are closely watching whether ETH can convert the former breakdown area between $1,850 and $1,900 into support.

In a June 16 X post, analyst Michael van de Poppe noted that Ethereum is approaching a region that could form a higher low before a larger trend reversal.

“I think that this is a phenomenal spot to be buying spot Ethereum for the upcoming 6‑12 months and that it’s going to make a higher low from here.”

A wall of short positions stands between ETH and $2,000

Derivatives data suggests volatility could increase if Ethereum approaches key resistance levels. Specifically, CoinGlass liquidation heatmaps show a dense concentration of short liquidations between $1,840 and $1,860. Another major liquidity pocket sits near $1,900. Therefore, a move into those zones could force leveraged bears to cover positions and accelerate upside momentum.

Ethereum liquidation heatmap Source: CoinGlass

The recent rally also appears to have trapped traders positioned for further downside. Ethereum’s recovery from the June lows coincided with a sharp reversal from oversold conditions. Consequently, this created conditions for a short squeeze as bearish bets were unwound.

Several risks remain

While President Trump has said the US‑Iran peace agreement has already been signed, neither side has released the full text of the memorandum. Therefore, shipping companies continue to await greater clarity before resuming normal traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.

Any disruption to the implementation process could lift oil prices and renew inflation concerns ahead of upcoming Federal Reserve decisions.

From a technical perspective, the bullish setup weakens if Ethereum loses the multi‑year trendline and falls back below $1,700. Such a move would expose the June low near $1,507 and reopen the possibility of a deeper retracement.

Nevertheless, buyers have successfully defended long‑term support. Therefore, the $1,8732,000 region is the next major test for Ethereum bulls.

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