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Bitcoin

ETF Outflows Resume as Market Sentiment Sours

by Ouess October 23, 2025

written by Ouess

The mood shifted quickly in crypto markets. After a promising rebound, ETF outflows have returned. This reversal signals that institutional confidence remains fragile.

Bitcoin ETF Outflows

On October 22, spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $101.3 million leave the funds. This completely erased the previous day’s $477 million inflow.

The data reveals a divided picture. BlackRock’s IBIT stood strong with $73.6 million in inflows. However, this positive move was overwhelmed by withdrawals from other major funds. Fidelity’s FBTC and Grayscale’s GBTC both saw around $56 million in redemptions. Consequently, the overall trend turned negative.

Ethereum Follows the Same Pattern

The story was similar for Ethereum ETFs. They recorded $18.8 million in ETF outflows. This ended their own brief recovery from the day before. Once again, BlackRock was the lone winner. Its ETHA product attracted $110.7 million. However, Grayscale’s Ethereum funds faced $80 million in combined withdrawals.

This return of ETF outflows highlights a broader market issue. Demand appears shallow and easily shaken. Furthermore, trading volume across all funds dropped significantly. This indicates that investors are sitting on the sidelines, unsure of the next direction.

Prices Struggle for Momentum

The price action reflects this caution. Bitcoin is trading around $109,783, struggling to break out of a narrow range. It has formed a pattern of lower highs since early October. Therefore, it needs a decisive break above $112,000 to revive bullish momentum.

Ethereum faces the same challenge. It is stuck near $3,869, unable to hold above $3,900. Both assets lack the volume and conviction for a sustained recovery. The total crypto market cap remains below its recent peaks as a result.

My Thoughts on ETF Outflows

This is a classic “two-steps-forward, one-step-back” recovery. The brief inflows were encouraging, but the quick return of ETF outflows shows the market isn’t out of the woods yet. Institutions are clearly trading these ETFs tactically rather than buying and holding. The market needs a strong catalyst, like a dovish Fed or positive CPI data, to break this cycle of shallow rallies and swift profit-taking.

October 23, 2025 0 comment

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Gold Divergence as BTC Holds $108K and Gold Dips

by Ouess October 22, 2025

written by Ouess

Bitcoin is locked in a tense stalemate around $108,000. The recent Bitcoin gold divergence has faded after a brief rally failed to gain momentum. Consequently, traders are now looking ahead to critical inflation data for the next directional cue.

Bitcoin Gold Divergence

Earlier, Bitcoin dipped to $106,100, successfully closing the “gap” left on CME futures charts over the weekend. However, the subsequent bounce was weak. Meanwhile, gold continued its retreat, threatening to break below the key $4,000 support level. This reversal ended the recent pattern where Bitcoin rallied as gold fell.

The market is now experiencing choppy and illiquid conditions. Analysts note that bid liquidity is building below $107,000, providing a short-term floor. Yet, any attempt to push significantly higher meets immediate selling pressure. This creates a narrow trading range with volatile swings.

$BTC Failed the breakout above the high volume node and is back at this ~$107K support.

This is a key area before retesting the Friday lows and wick not much lower than that.

The CME gap was closed and have a decent bounce in the short term but price action is all over the… pic.twitter.com/0x6TRrUrrc
— Daan Crypto Trades (@DaanCrypto) October 22, 2025

All Eyes on Inflation Data

The entire market’s focus has shifted to the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. This is the first major economic data release since the U.S. government shutdown began. Therefore, it will be the Federal Reserve’s primary guide for future interest rate decisions.

Economic data is being released despite the government shutdown.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation report for September will be published this Friday at 8:30 AM EST.

This report is significant as it precedes the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision next… pic.twitter.com/sKKUkw0Yz5
— The Rational Investor | Financial Insights (@Rational_Invst) October 19, 2025

A soft CPI print near 0.2% could reignite the “soft-landing” trade. This would likely boost risk assets like Bitcoin. Conversely, a higher number could reinforce hawkish Fed policy, extending the current market uncertainty. The result will be a major catalyst for volatility.

My Thoughts

This is a classic consolidation before a major news event. The failed rally shows a lack of conviction, but the solid support at $106K indicates sellers are also exhausted. The CPI print will be a make-or-break moment. A good number could easily send Bitcoin back towards $114,000, while a bad one might trigger a retest of $100,000.

October 22, 2025 0 comment

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Crypto Rally Fades as $662M Gets Liquidated

by Ouess October 22, 2025

written by Ouess

The crypto rally fades after a brief recovery, triggering $662M in liquidations despite strong ETF inflows. Market sentiment drops to “extreme fear” ahead of key economic data.

Crypto Rally Fades

A promising crypto rally fades almost as quickly as it began, leaving traders with heavy losses and renewed uncertainty. What started as a strong recovery on October 21—with Bitcoin surpassing $113,000 and Ethereum reclaiming $4,000—completely reversed course by the next morning. The failed breakout triggered a massive $653 million in liquidations, marking one of the largest single-day wipeouts this month.

The data reveals a market trapped between hope and fear. While prices tumbled, overall open interest actually increased slightly, suggesting new positions are still being opened despite the volatility. This conflicting signal shows traders remain engaged but deeply divided on the market’s next direction.

Sentiment Sours as ETF Flows Provide Hope

The sharp reversal crushed market morale. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index plunged nine points to 25, solidifying “extreme fear” among investors. The brief crypto rally fades demonstrated how quickly optimism can disappear in the current environment.

However, a crucial bright spot emerged beneath the surface. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $477 million in net inflows, decisively ending a four-day outflow streak. BlackRock’s IBIT led with $210 million, showing institutions used the dip to accumulate. Ethereum ETFs also saw $141 million return, suggesting smart money hasn’t abandoned the market.

Key Levels and What’s Next

As the crypto rally fades, critical support levels are being tested. Bitcoin now battles to hold $108,500 while Ethereum struggles at $3,850. All eyes turn to the October 24 U.S. inflation report and the Federal Reserve’s meeting later this month, which will heavily influence whether liquidity conditions improve.

The Altcoin Season Index’s modest rise to 29 offers a glimmer of hope—it suggests altcoins may be building relative strength against Bitcoin, potentially setting the stage for a broader recovery once stability returns.

My Thoughts

This was a classic “bull trap” that liquidated over-optimistic longs. The positive ETF flows are the real story here—institutions are clearly still interested at these levels. The market needs to consolidate and build a stronger base before the next sustained upward move. If inflation data comes in cool, we could see this failed rally quickly forgotten.

October 22, 2025 0 comment

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Trump-Xi Meeting in South Korea Could Shake Crypto

by Ouess October 21, 2025

written by Ouess

The Trump-Xi meeting could redefine global trade — and crypto markets are watching every move. BTC volatility and miner risk on alert.

Big news: Trump-Xi meeting confirmed (for now)

The long-awaited Trump-Xi meeting is officially on the table — set to take place in South Korea in two weeks. President Donald Trump confirmed the plan, saying China “wants to negotiate” and that a “great trade deal” could be coming. But markets took a sharp turn when Trump later hinted the meeting might not happen at all.

US President Donald Trump predicted an upcoming meeting with his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping, would yield a “good deal” on trade — while also conceding that the highly anticipated talks may not happen https://t.co/UscWZnVsSs
— Bloomberg (@business) October 21, 2025

Why crypto traders care

Geopolitical FUD (fear, uncertainty, and doubt) like this hits markets fast — and crypto usually reacts first. After Trump’s comments about possible talks — and then “maybe no meeting” — Bitcoin (BTC) spiked, then retraced, showing traders are watching every headline for cues on global liquidity and risk sentiment.

Rare earths, tariffs, and mining costs

Trump also highlighted China’s growing export restrictions on rare earth minerals — key materials used in tech, batteries, and yes, crypto mining rigs. The U.S. is now turning to Australia to diversify its supply chain, challenging Beijing’s dominance. If tensions flare, mining costs could rise, squeezing margins for BTC miners and GPU-heavy networks like Ethereum Classic and Kaspa.

The wider political backdrop

Trump boasted of ending eight wars but said a ninth — Ukraine-Russia — is still “on the way.” Meanwhile, the White House confirmed there are no plans for a Trump-Putin meeting. Despite a “productive” call between U.S. and Russian diplomats, Moscow expressed “surprise” at the canceled summit.

My Thoughts

If the Trump-Xi meeting goes ahead, expect a relief rally across risk assets — BTC could break resistance zones fast. But if talks collapse, watch for a spike in volatility, stronger USD demand, and weaker altcoins. Either way, it’s pure trading alpha season.

October 21, 2025 0 comment

Bitcoin

Bitcoin ETF Outflows Continue for Fourth Day

by Ouess October 21, 2025

written by Ouess

The streak of institutional withdrawals continues as Bitcoin ETF outflows extend into a fourth consecutive day. On October 20, spot Bitcoin ETFs saw another $40.46 million exit the funds, signaling a cautious pause in institutional buying despite Bitcoin’s recent recovery attempts.

Breaking Down the Bitcoin ETF Outflows

The data reveals a mixed picture beneath the surface. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) led the Bitcoin ETF outflows, experiencing a single-day withdrawal of $101 million. This marked a notable shift for the ETF giant, which had previously been a steady source of inflows.

However, not all funds followed the same trend. VanEck’s HODL ETF and Bitwise’s BITB ETF actually saw modest inflows of $21.16 million and $12.05 million respectively. This divergence suggests that while some investors are taking profits, others are using the price dip as an entry point.

Despite the recent Bitcoin ETF outflows, the broader perspective remains impressive. The total net asset value of all spot Bitcoin ETFs still stands at a massive $149.66 billion, representing nearly 7% of Bitcoin’s entire market capitalization.

Key Takeaways

Bitcoin ETF outflows continue for a fourth day, totaling $40.46M
BlackRock’s IBIT saw $101M in outflows, the largest of the day
VanEck and Bitwise funds saw modest inflows, showing divided sentiment
Total ETF assets remain strong at $149.66B despite recent withdrawals

My Thoughts

This looks like healthy profit-taking rather than a loss of faith. After Bitcoin’s massive run-up, some institutional investors are naturally cashing in gains. The fact that total ETF assets remain near $150 billion shows the structural demand is still there. Once this period of consolidation ends and macroeconomic uncertainties clear, we could see inflows return with force.

October 21, 2025 0 comment

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Crypto Crash Worsens With $1.2B Liquidated

by Ouess October 17, 2025

written by Ouess

The market downturn has escalated into a full-scale crypto crash, with Bitcoin plunging below $104,000 and Ethereum collapsing under $3,600. This sharp decline wiped over 5% from the total crypto market cap, erasing $830 billion in just one week. The sell-off triggered a massive $1.2 billion in liquidations, hitting long traders particularly hard.

What’s Driving the Crypto Crash?

Several powerful factors combined to trigger this crypto crash. The panic started with renewed banking fears after Western Alliance and Zions Bank reported major fraud-related loan issues. This sparked concerns about crypto off-ramps and broader financial stability.

Meanwhile, the “Trump Insider Whale” perfectly timed the market again, opening a $127 million Bitcoin short position right before key announcements. Although Trump didn’t mention new tariffs, the damage was done. This whale has now made over $200 million profit from perfectly timed shorts during recent volatility.

The pressure intensified as spot Bitcoin ETFs saw their largest single-day outflow since August—a stunning $536 million with zero funds seeing inflows. This institutional retreat created a powerful selling wave that overwhelmed the market.

Liquidation Carnage and What Comes Next

The numbers are brutal. Over 308,000 traders were liquidated in 24 hours, with long positions bearing the brunt of the pain. Bitcoin longs lost $331 million while Ethereum longs saw $198 million wiped out.

Today brings another major test: $5.7 billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum options are set to expire. With a high put-call ratio, traders are positioned for more downside, suggesting the volatility isn’t over yet.

The critical question is whether support will hold at current levels. If Bitcoin breaks below $103,900, analysts warn we could see a move toward $100,000. For Ethereum, holding $3,600 is crucial to prevent another leg down.

My Thoughts

This looks like a perfect storm of institutional profit-taking and macro fears. The banking issues created the initial fear, then the ETF outflows and whale shorting amplified the move. Until we get clarity on banking stability and the US-China trade situation, the path of least resistance remains downward. The key will be whether these levels attract enough buyers to form a bottom.

October 17, 2025 0 comment

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Price Drops Below $110K as ETF Outflows Grow

by Ouess October 17, 2025

written by Ouess

The selling pressure is mounting as the Bitcoin price drops below the critical $110,000 level. Currently trading around $105,837, Bitcoin is now down 14% from its recent all-time high. The decline is being fueled by a second straight day of major outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs, shaking investor confidence.

ETF Outflows Drive the Sell-Off

The data tells a clear story. On October 16, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a massive $536 million walk out the door. This marks the second consecutive day of significant outflows, suggesting institutions are taking profits after the big rally. ARK Invest’s ARKB fund led the withdrawals with $275 million, followed by Fidelity’s FBTC with $132 million.

This institutional selling is creating a major headwind. When these funds have to sell Bitcoin to meet redemptions, it adds direct selling pressure to the market. This comes at a time when trader sentiment was already fragile due to global economic concerns.

Technical Picture Shows Bitcoin price drops

The technical outlook for Bitcoin has turned cautious. The Bitcoin price drops have pushed it against the lower Bollinger Band, which often signals rising volatility and potential for bigger moves. All major moving averages are now flashing sell signals, indicating a bearish near-term trend.

However, it’s not all doom and gloom. The current $104,000-$108,000 zone has become a crucial support area. If Bitcoin can hold here, a bounce back toward $113,000 is possible. But if this support breaks, a further decline toward $102,000—or even $100,000, as some analysts warn—could be next.

My Thoughts

This is a healthy, though painful, correction after a huge run-up. ETF flows were the rocket fuel for the rally, so it’s natural that outflows would cause a pullback. The key is whether long-term holders see these prices as a buying opportunity. If the $104K support holds, we could quickly regain momentum. If not, we may be in for a deeper cleanse before the next leg up.

October 17, 2025 0 comment

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Crypto Falls as US-China Trade Tensions Rise

by Ouess October 16, 2025

written by Ouess

Crypto markets are turning red again as the standoff between the world’s two largest economies continues. Prices are falling across the board as trade tensions between the U.S. and China make investors nervous. The fear of a full-blown trade war is pushing people away from risky assets like Bitcoin and back toward safer options.

Trade Tensions Spook Crypto

The situation escalated after China’s commerce minister publicly urged the U.S. to cooperate. He asked for talks on “equal footing” to resolve the issues, blaming recent U.S. measures for the current problems. This comes after former President Trump announced a planned 100% tariff on Chinese goods, set to start in November.

When asked if the two countries were already in a trade war, Trump replied, “We were in one now.” This back-and-forth is creating the kind of uncertainty that crypto markets hate. The result has been a clear sell-off, with the total crypto market cap dropping to $3.63 trillion.

Markets React to the Pressure

Bitcoin is leading the decline, falling below $108,000 after a brief recovery earlier in the week. Major altcoins like Ethereum, Solana, and XRP are all seeing significant losses too.

Making traders even more nervous is the return of the “Trump Insider Whale.” This large trader, who made roughly $200 million by shorting the market right before last week’s tariff announcement, is now shorting Bitcoin again. Their activity is being watched closely as a potential signal of more volatility ahead.

My Thoughts

This is a classic “risk-off” scenario. When global powers clash, money often flees speculative assets. The whale’s return to shorting is a major red flag, given their perfect timing last week. Until we get clarity on the trade front, the market will likely remain shaky. If a deal seems possible, we could see a sharp rebound. If not, lower prices are probably ahead.

October 16, 2025 0 comment

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Lags Gold as Safe Haven Amid Tariff Fears

by Ouess October 16, 2025

written by Ouess

A clear divergence is emerging between two popular “safe haven” assets. Currently, Bitcoin lags gold in performance as investors seek shelter from market storms. While gold has soared to a fresh record high of $4,200, Bitcoin is struggling to hold the $110,000 level, down 12% from its peak.

Why Bitcoin Lags Gold in Current Climate

The recent market turmoil highlighted this difference. When former President Trump threatened 130% tariffs on Chinese goods, Bitcoin plunged to $106,000. At the same time, gold’s rally accelerated. This reaction shows that in times of immediate geopolitical stress, traditional investors still flock to the ancient metal.

The numbers tell a stark story. Gold is up 60% this year, while Bitcoin lags gold with less than 20% gains. The gap is also visible in the ETF world. The leading gold ETF (GLD) holds $138 billion, significantly more than BlackRock’s Bitcoin IBIT fund at $91 billion. Gold is benefiting from massive central bank buying, with their holdings now exceeding U.S. dollar reserves for the first time since 1996.

Long-Term Perspective Offers Hope for Bitcoin

However, it’s not all bleak for Bitcoin. While Bitcoin lags gold in this specific scenario, its long-term track record remains superior. Over the past five years, Bitcoin has skyrocketed 861% compared to gold’s 105% gain.

The institutional story for Bitcoin also remains strong. Spot Bitcoin ETFs have attracted $27 billion in new money this year alone. Furthermore, Deutsche Bank predicts central banks will start adding Bitcoin to their reserves by 2030, which would be a game-changer for its legitimacy.

My Thoughts

This is a reality check for the “digital gold” narrative. While Bitcoin has incredible long-term potential, it’s clear that during sudden geopolitical crises, traditional finance still prefers the real thing. However, as Bitcoin matures and gains broader institutional acceptance, this dynamic could shift. The Deutsche Bank prediction about central bank adoption would be a major step toward closing this credibility gap.

October 16, 2025 0 comment

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Bitcoin & Ethereum ETF Inflows Return With $339M Surge

by Ouess October 15, 2025

written by Ouess

Institutional confidence is making a strong comeback as Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs see substantial capital returning after several days of outflows. On October 14, combined ETF inflows return with impressive force, totaling $338.8 million across both digital assets. This dramatic reversal signals that professional investors are once again viewing the recent dip as a buying opportunity rather than a reason to exit.

Bitcoin ETF Inflows Return With Force

According to data from SoSoValue, Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded $102.6 million in net inflows, marking a decisive turnaround from the previous day’s $326.5 million outflow. Fidelity’s FBTC led the charge with $133 million in new investments, while Bitwise’s BITB and Ark & 21Shares’ ARKB contributed $8 million and $6.8 million respectively. Although BlackRock’s IBIT and Valkyrie’s BRRR saw minor outflows totaling $44.85 million, the overall sentiment clearly shifted positive.

Meanwhile, Ethereum ETFs demonstrated even stronger momentum with $236.2 million in net inflows. Fidelity’s FETH attracted $154.6 million alone, while Grayscale’s ETH products added $50 million. This powerful rebound followed a difficult period that saw Ethereum ETFs lose $428.5 million just one day earlier.

Market Recovery Gains Traction

The renewed ETF inflows return alongside improving price action across major cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin has stabilized around $112,431, showing a modest 0.34% gain while recovering from lows near $105,000. Although still 11% below its $125,000 peak, the consolidation suggests selling pressure is easing.

Ethereum has outperformed with an impressive 20% rebound from its crash lows, currently trading at $4,116. The recovery has been particularly strong, with ETH quickly reclaiming key support levels and now targeting resistance around $4,250. This technical strength complements the fundamental support from returning institutional capital.

My Thoughts

This inflow reversal is crucial for sustaining the bull market. Institutions aren’t just dipping toes—they’re making substantial commitments during uncertainty. The especially strong Ethereum flows suggest smart money recognizes ETH’s relative undervaluation compared to Bitcoin. If this inflow trend continues, we could see a rapid recapture of recent highs.

October 15, 2025 0 comment

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