A familiar pattern in DOGE’s price seems poised for a comeback, reminiscent of the surge witnessed in early 2021.
Dogecoin (DOGE), renowned as the largest meme cryptocurrency by market value, appears to be on track to replicate the bullish “golden cross” technical pattern that preceded the notable surge earlier this year. With a market cap hovering around $22 billion, DOGE has showcased remarkable performance in 2021, witnessing a price surge of over 70%, surpassing the nearly 50% increase seen in bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency.
The 50-week simple moving average (SMA) of DOGE’s spot price is currently trending upwards and appears primed to intersect with the 200-week SMA in the coming weeks, indicating a golden cross. This suggests that short-term price momentum might soon surpass long-term momentum, potentially signaling an extended bullish trend.
Moving-average crossovers are commonly utilized by momentum traders as part of a systematic approach to pinpointing market entry and exit points. DOGE’s price surpassed its 200-week SMA in March, breaking free from a prolonged sideways consolidation phase, and has since maintained a position above this critical average.
The impending golden cross would mark the first occurrence in over three years. The previous one, observed in early January 2021, heralded a four-month rally that propelled prices to surge over 8,000%, reaching a record high of 76 cents on Binance.
However, it’s essential to note that historical data doesn’t guarantee future outcomes, especially with moving average crossovers, which often lag behind prices and can trap traders on the wrong side, particularly in traditional markets.
Furthermore, meme coins like DOGE lack tangible real-world utility and are primarily fueled by speculation, rendering them highly sensitive to fiat liquidity conditions and global interest rate expectations.
During DOGE’s surge in early 2021, interest rates worldwide were at or near zero, fostering unprecedented risk-taking across various financial markets. However, the current scenario differs, with interest rates in the U.S., the world’s largest economy, reaching multiyear highs exceeding 5%.