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Solana Price Decline Deepens – Will SOL Recover?

by Ouess

Solana has suffered a sharp drop, hitting its lowest level in months amid a broader market downturn. Bearish technical indicators and weak investor sentiment have made a recovery uncertain.

SOL’s future now depends heavily on Bitcoin’s performance. If BTC rebounds, Solana may follow. But if Bitcoin struggles, SOL could face further losses.

Investor Sentiment Turns Bearish

A key market indicator, Long-Term Holder Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (LTH NUPL), has entered the Fear zone. This suggests rising market distress among long-term SOL investors. Currently, this metric sits at a 16-month low, signaling increasing losses.

Solana LTH NUPL. Source: Glassnode

If panic spreads to retail traders, a mass sell-off could drive Solana’s price even lower. With Bitcoin struggling to stay above $80,000, Solana’s strong 0.92 correlation with BTC could amplify downward pressure.

Solana Correlation With Bitcoin. Source: TradingView

Unless Bitcoin stabilizes and regains momentum, Solana’s price is unlikely to recover in the short term.

SOL Price Faces Critical Support Levels

Solana has dropped 28% in the past 24 hours, trading at $128. This decline follows a Death Cross formation last week, a bearish signal that suggests further downside unless strong buying pressure emerges.

SOL USD Source : TradingView

Currently, SOL is holding above $120, attempting to find support. However, if market conditions worsen, Solana could break below $128, accelerating losses.

  • Bearish scenario: A break below $120 could trigger a deeper decline.
  • Bullish scenario: If investors buy the dip, SOL could reclaim $137 and push toward $155, invalidating the bearish outlook.

Solana’s recovery depends on Bitcoin’s trajectory and whether investors regain confidence in the market.

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